Tropical Storm Melissa Grows Stronger While Moves In the Direction of the Island Nation
Hurricane the storm is forecast to escalate to a infrequent highest-level storm as it turns toward the Caribbean island, bringing deadly flash flooding and landslides.
The cyclone, which recorded winds of up to 195 km/h as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is currently turning north-west in the Caribbean and is anticipated to make landfall by early next week, according to hurricane specialists.
Warnings of blackouts and damage to infrastructure have been released as this storm produces up to 30 inches of rain and coastal flooding as high as 13ft above ground. "Find safe refuge immediately," residents have been advised.
This hurricane is the 13th named storm in the current Atlantic hurricane season, which typically ends in late autumn.
Highest-Level Hurricane Threat
A highest-level hurricane is the most intense classification, with winds of at least 157 miles per hour.
Although this storm is set to reduce in intensity to a fourth-level hurricane before arriving at the island, experts said there was "almost no noticeable change in the total effects" upon landfall, and that the storm will be "equally strong" when it strikes the island.
Immediate Readiness Measures
With storm-force winds and rain anticipated well in advance long before it passes over central Jamaica - including potentially the capital, Kingston - warnings emphasize that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"Several days of harmful winds and intense precipitation has started and will cause devastating and dangerous flash flooding and numerous rock slides," advised weather authorities.
Jamaican Prime Minister the statesman stated: "I realize that there are numerous residents who are worried, who are extremely apprehensive, and rightfully so: concern is justified.
"But the most effective method to handle worry and any apprehension and concern is to remain prepared."
Locals are being advised to fortify their houses with protective bags and wooden boards, and to stock up on necessary supplies.
Broader Impact
Warnings are also active for parts of the neighboring country such as the main city, Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic and eastern Cuba, where this storm is expected to bring comparable impacts by the middle of next week.
Rock slides currently triggered by the cyclone have caused two deaths in the country, according to emergency services.
Future Path
The hurricane is forecast to pass over the island nation by Wednesday before passing across the Antillas Mayores and out into the Atlantic Ocean.
By the time it reaches Cuba, it is anticipated to have weakened to a third-level storm.
Environmental Background
While it is hard to associate specific storms to environmental shifts, experts say it is resulting in meteorological events more prevalent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat generate more moisture in the atmosphere, helping fuel the creation of tropical cyclones.
Ahead of the beginning of this year's Atlantic hurricane season, climate agencies projected increased storm frequency, mentioning elevated ocean temperatures and possible more intense weather patterns around African coastal regions - where hurricanes often form.